Harvard Study Predicts Super Bowl Matchup: Seahawks vs …?


Harvard people are smart, for the most part, so by and large we pay attention when they speak about things.

Kurt Bullard of the Harvard Sports Analysis Collective tried to formulate a mathematical method of picking the NFL’s playoff teams, using Pro Football Reference’s Approximate Value statistic, crosschecking it with a few other analytical numbers from other sites and coming up with a talent rating and the percentage likelihood for every NFL team’s chances to make the postseason.

Bullard’s findings were interesting.

It’s not stunning that his top-rated team — in both talent at key positions and percentage to make the playoffs — was the Seattle Seahawks. Considering they’ve been to the past two Super Bowls and have prevented getting gutted, personnel-wise, after both of them, it sounds like a smart prediction.

But the team most likely to face them in the Super Bowl, per Bullard? That would be the Miami Dolphins.

Screen Shot 2015-07-26 at 10.20.34 PM

(We hate to interrupt this programming for this service announcement, but, please: If you do choose to send us an email on this, we’re more than happy to read it. But know that these are the predictions of another man, not us. You’d think that would go without saying, but …)

Yes, the Dolphins, which lost to the New York Jets in Week 17 in a listless performance, are ready to take a huge leap, per Bullard. Clearly, the additions of Ndamukong Suh, DeVante Parker, Kenny Stills and others and the development of Ryan Tannehill and a talented defense factor in heavily here, too. And Bullard suggests that it will be enough to overtake the New England Patriots, both as the AFC East winners and the defending champs.

The Patriots, Indianapolis Colts and Denver Broncos are all at 62 percent for likelihood to make the playoffs behind the Dolphins and Kansas City Chiefs (66 percent) among AFC teams. The Green Bay Packers are second to the Seahawks in the NFC at 93 percent. The third-highest NFC team: the Detroit Lions, at 53 percent.

Clearly, this is not a foolproof method, and it’s all likely to go out the window with a few injuries, suspensions (or suspension reductions — hint, hint), rookie surprises or veterans who inevitably fall off the cliff.

The biggest surprises in the Harvard study? None bigger, perhaps, than the Baltimore Ravens with a 9% (!!!) chance to make the playoffs. Yeah, they lost a lot … but nine?

It’s all fun. And a reminder: It’s not us. This is not a Yahoo prediction. It’s a Harvard thing. Which normally is something you’d want to take quite seriously, but … well, you judge for yourself.


[Via Yahoo Sports]


    • This is something very interesting that is worth paying your extreme attention ,a very good chance to work for those people who want to use their free time so that they can make some extra money using their computers… I have been working on this for last two and half years and I am earning 60-90 dollar/ hour … In the past week I have earned 13,70 dollars for almost 20 hours sitting ….

      Any special qualification, degree or skills is not necessary for this, just keyboard typing and a good working and reliable internet connection ….

      Not any Time limitations to start work … You may do this work at any time when you willing to do it ….

      Just know how I have been doing this…..….see this (webiste-Iink) on my !profile!` to know how I am working` on this`



Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here