The NFL regular season is almost upon us, and with that come odds – odds to win the Super Bowl.
Bill Barnwell of ESPN ranked every NFL’s teams chances of winning it all this season and as one would predict, the likely suspects of the Browns and Patriots are at opposite ends of the spectrum.
Closer to the bottom falls a team with always lofty expectations in the Dallas Cowboys, with a whopping 1.75% chance of winning Super Bowl 53.
Here is Barnwell’s explanation for the rating –
16. Dallas Cowboys
Projected Super Bowl odds: 1.7 percent
The Eagles won Super Bowl LII after beginning the season tied for 16th in FPI Super Bowl odds. Can another NFC East team repeat the feat? The Cowboys would be a more promising proposition if it weren’t for the absence of star center Travis Frederick, who is suffering from Guillain-Barré syndrome and has no timetable for a return. They have been built on a stars-and-other-guys philosophy for two decades now, and for Dallas to make a run to the top of the NFC East, it is utterly dependent upon those stars staying healthy.
As is the case for the 49ers, Dallas’ success might be more about the less-famous names on the defense than the guys who everyone knows on the offense. DeMarcus Lawrence needs to repeat his breakout season, and it would be delightful if 2017 first-rounder Taco Charlton could emerge as a secondary rusher on the other side of the line. And in a league in which teams are spending gobs of money on pass-rushers and the secondary, the Cowboys are pivoting in the other direction and investing in linebackers with Sean Lee, still-healing 2016 second-rounder Jaylon Smith, and 2018 first-rounder Leighton Vander Esch. If Rod Marinelli can push his defense to league average after finishing 25th in defensive DVOA a year ago, the Cowboys would look like a viable playoff contender.
You can where your team stacks up on the full list HERE.