ESPN Computer Runs 20,000 Simulations, Predicts This Season’s Super Bowl Teams & Champion

Image via ClutchPoints

They call it any given Sunday for a reason. Unlike other major sports, the NFL has the ability to have surprise teams get hot and make it to the top (See Tennessee Titans last season).

Despite the almost unavailable parody, ESPN decided to run 20,000 compute simulations to try to weed out who they think will be hoisting the Lombardi Trophy come next February.


Each preseason, we run 20,000 simulations of the entire slate with ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI), our projection system. A lot goes into it, including expected starting quarterback, past performance, returning starters and projected win totals. The culmination is a strength rating for all 32 teams that helps us predict outcomes.


But today, only one of those sims matters: No. 3,869. We played out that single result across every game, giving us tight division races, QB controversies, breakouts and of course a Super Bowl LV champion. We also baked in NFL analyst Mike Clay’s player projections to give us stat leaders throughout the season.

After extensive computer simulation, ESPN picked what they and the computers thought would be the most likely, and according to the findings, the Kansas City Chiefs will beat the Dallas Cowboys and repeat as Super Bowl Champions.

You can see ESPN’s finding HERE.